Market Risk vs Credit Risk - Sandeep Kanao
Market RiskPotential loss in market value of our position if a market risk factor goes against our position. VaR is the common measure used
Credit Risk
Credit Risk = Exposure x Credit Worthiness x Severity
Exposure
Potential loss as a result of counterparty default
Credit Worthiness
Probability of default or credit migration
Severity
Fraction loss give default
Severity = 1 – Recovery Rate
Methods for Measuring Counterparty Exposure - Sandeep Kanao
Portfolio Simulation MethodSimulate multiple scenarios of future values of risk factors. E.g. FX rates, Interest Rates, Commodity and Equity prices…
Value each deal in the portfolio using simulated market risk factors as input to pricing models
Aggregate counterparty exposure using appropriate netting rules, margin and collaterals agreements
Calculate the exposure measures
Confidence level exposure (e.g. 95%)
Expected Exposure and Effective Exposure
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